Should I Grade My Shohei Ohtani Topps Chrome Rookie?
Shohei Ohtani · 2018 Topps Chrome Baseball #150 · Base (not a Refractor) · Rookie Card (RC)
Short answer: Only if a PSA 10 sells for more than $539.91. At the recent eBay raw sold median of $441.94, PSA Standard grading ($59.99, the cheapest level whose $1,000 max value covers the recent PSA 10 median and that sale), $25.00 shipping and 13.25% selling fees break even at that graded sale price. Recent PSA 10 sales clear that bar (see the sold comps). Check your card’s centering and that you have the exact parallel before you pay to grade, and remember many cards come back a 9 or lower.
- Player
- Shohei Ohtani
- Sport
- Baseball (MLB)
- Set
- 2018 Topps Chrome Baseball
- Number
- #150
- Parallel
- Base (not a Refractor)
- Rookie card
- Yes (RC)
- Raw price
- $441.94 eBay sold median of 26† clean raw sales, Oct 22 – Nov 9, 2026 (low $330.00, high $572.42), via SportsCardsPro, as of Nov 9, 2026
- PSA 10 median
- $930.00 (21† eBay sales)
Prices as of Nov 9, 2026: eBay sold listings via SportsCardsPro, raw and graded, not estimates.
See recent PSA 10 sales on eBayRecent sales: raw and graded
Median eBay sold prices for Shohei Ohtani Topps Chrome #150 (base), ungraded and by PSA grade, from sales listed on SportsCardsPro[1] in the 90 days to Nov 9, 2026. Each sale there links to its eBay listing. Only exact matches for this card and parallel count: other parallels, serial-numbered copies, autos, lots, other graders and damaged cards are left out. These are real sales, not our estimates. Grades with fewer than 3 sales are not shown.
| Grade | Median sold | Sales | Low – high | Sale dates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw (ungraded) | $441.94 | 26† | $330.00 – $572.42 | Oct 22 – Nov 9 |
| PSA 10 | $930.00 | 21† | $887.00 – $1,000.00 | Nov 2 – Nov 9 |
| PSA 9 | $490.27 | 20† | $335.00 – $746.52 | Oct 3 – Nov 9 |
| PSA 8 | $595.77 | 6 | $368.89 – $650.00 | Aug 17 – Oct 30 |
† Understated count: SportsCardsPro lists only the most recent 20 to 30 sales for each grade, so these lists cover just the dates shown (often a few weeks) and the real 90-day count is higher.
Raw price: there is no TCGplayer-style price feed for sports cards, so the calculator uses the eBay raw sold median: $441.94 from 26† clean raw sales, Oct 22 – Nov 9, 2026, low $330.00 and high $572.42, via SportsCardsPro[1], as of Nov 9, 2026. Raw listings rarely state condition, so a sharp copy may sell for more and a flawed one for less.
Break-even check: the PSA 10 median, $930.00[1], is $390.09 above this page’s $539.91 break-even, so a PSA 10 selling at that price would beat selling raw.
Our take: At the recent PSA 10 median ($930.00), a 10 would net about $338.40 more than selling raw at the $441.94 eBay raw sold median, after PSA Standard grading ($59.99), $25.00 shipping and 13.25% selling fees. At the PSA 9 median ($490.27), a 9 would net about $43.06 less than selling raw (also PSA Standard, $59.99). Grading only pays if your chance of a 10 is better than about 11% (assuming anything less comes back a 9, which is optimistic), so submit only sharp, well-centered copies.[1]
PSA 10 odds: 16,072 of the 18,471 copies PSA has graded are PSA 10s, a 87.0% gem rate (SportsCardsPro PSA population report, checked Nov 3, 2026); see PSA population. That is the share of copies sent in so far, not your copy’s odds: its centering, corners and surface matter more. For comparison, 41.2% of 2020s sports cards PSA graded came back a 10 (February 2026 data)[3].
PSA population
PSA has graded 18,471 copies; 16,072 are PSA 10s (87.0% gem rate) and 2,024 are PSA 9s. That means 13.0% of graded copies did not get a 10, so check that a PSA 9 sale would still beat selling raw before you count on a 10.
Source: SportsCardsPro PSA population report, checked Nov 3, 2026.
The calculator below is prefilled with this card, its eBay raw sold median and the recent PSA 10 sold median. Change either price if your copy or the market differs (we never estimate graded prices: the figures on this page are real sales with sources), then add it to My Collection or share the result.
PSA 10 vs raw calculator
Card details (used for the eBay links and My Collection)
Assuming a PSA 10 (recent median). Change it if you expect a 9.
See recent PSA 9 sales on eBay Enter player/year/set firstAuto-picked Standard: the cheapest tier whose $1,000 max value covers the graded value and break-even.
Max value is what the card's worth after grading, not raw. A $60 raw card you expect to be a $700 PSA 10 needs a tier with a cap of at least $700. If it comes back worth more than its tier's cap, PSA bumps it up to the right tier and charges the difference. How PSA tiers work
PSA fees per card as of Oct 29, 2026, from psacard.com, verified 2026-11-09. Value ($39.99, cards up to $500) reopened Oct 29, 2026; Value Bulk is still paused. Premium tiers for cards worth over $10,000 (Premium 1 to Premium 10, 5–7 business days) from psacard.com/pricing, checked Nov 3, 2026.
Only for your profit on the card. It doesn’t change the grade-or-sell-raw verdict: you’ve paid it either way.
| Net if sold raw (after selling fees) | |
| Total grading costs (fee + shipping + insurance) | |
| Net if graded & sold (after all fees) | |
| Grading profit vs. selling raw | |
| Break-even graded sale value |
Counting on a PSA 10? It needs about 55/45 front centering (PSA 9: about 60/40). Measure your card's centering from a photo before you pay to grade.
Assumes the card actually gets the grade you chose. Lower grades are common — try PSA 8/9 values too.
Make sure you have the right card
- 2018 Topps Chrome #150 is the base Chrome rookie. Refractors and colored refractors are separate parallels with their own prices, and 2018 Topps Chrome Update cards are a different product. They were filtered out of these comps.[1]
- Flagship 2018 Topps (paper) cards are a different product with their own prices. Check the Chrome finish and the #150 number on the back.
- General guidance for any card: PSA says a Gem Mint 10 needs four sharp corners, full original gloss, no staining and centering within about 55/45 on the front and 75/25 on the back.[2] Chrome and Prizm cards often show surface scratches and print lines under a light, so check both sides. Measure centering with the centering checker and read the PSA grading guide before you submit.
Related
- Should I Grade My Luka Doncic Prizm Rookie? Luka Doncic Prizm #280 (base) · $61.05 raw (eBay)
- Should I Grade My Patrick Mahomes Prizm Rookie? Patrick Mahomes Prizm #269 (base) · $787.50 raw (eBay)
- Should I Grade My Wembanyama Prizm Rookie? Victor Wembanyama Prizm #136 (base) · $70.00 raw (eBay)
- All sports card pages
- Sports card grading calculator (any card)
Before you grade: check centering from a photo · PSA grading guide · PSA vs BGS vs CGC vs SGC
FAQ
Is the Shohei Ohtani Topps Chrome #150 (base) worth grading?
Only if recent PSA 10 sales are above $539.91. That is the break-even at the eBay raw sold median of $441.94 (26† sales via SportsCardsPro, as of Nov 9, 2026) with PSA Standard grading ($59.99), $25.00 shipping and 13.25% selling fees. The median of 21† recent PSA 10 eBay sales (Nov 2 – Nov 9, 2026, listed on SportsCardsPro) is $930.00, above that break-even. We never estimate graded prices: these are real sold listings, and the calculator’s graded value is editable.
How do I tell the base Ohtani Topps Chrome #150 from a Refractor?
A Refractor has a rainbow sheen and says Refractor on the back; the base does not. Refractors, colored refractors and 2018 Topps Chrome Update cards are different cards with their own prices, so check before you use these prices.
Which PSA service level do I need for the Shohei Ohtani Topps Chrome #150 (base)?
PSA prices each service level by the card's declared value, which should be what the graded card is worth, not its raw price. Recent PSA 10 sales have a median of $930.00, and a PSA 10 has to sell above $539.91 to beat selling raw. The cheapest level whose max value covers both is Standard ($59.99 per card, max value $1,000; fees checked 2026-11-09). If recent PSA 10 sales are above $1,000, PSA may upcharge you to Priority ($79.99, max $1,500) or higher. The calculator below picks the right level from the graded value you enter.
What are the odds my Shohei Ohtani card gets a PSA 10?
So far 16,072 of the 18,471 copies PSA has graded are PSA 10s, a 87.0% gem rate (SportsCardsPro PSA population report, checked Nov 3, 2026). That is the share of copies sent in so far, not your copy’s odds: its centering, corners and surface decide its grade. For comparison, 41.2% of 2020s sports cards PSA graded came back a PSA 10 (February 2026 data, reported by CardGrade.io from GemRate/Cardlines).
Sources
- SportsCardsPro: Shohei Ohtani Topps Chrome #150 (base), completed sales (raw and PSA), eBay sold listings (retrieved Nov 9, 2026)
- PSA Grading Standards (psacard.com)
- CardGrade.io: Card Grading Trends April 2026 (PSA gem rate by decade for sports cards, Feb 2026 data from GemRate/Cardlines)
Prices change daily. We refresh these sold comps from SportsCardsPro (eBay sold listings) and show the dates above. Not affiliated with PSA, the NBA, the NFL, MLB, any players association, Topps, Panini, SportsCardsPro or eBay.
My collection
Saved only on this device in your browser. Nothing is uploaded to our servers. Track quantities, prices paid, submission status and notes, and export a backup, in My Collection.